SCN: Free ISP
Steve
steve at advocate.net
Mon Jan 1 17:16:34 PST 2001
x-no-archive: yes
=======================
(Laurie J. Flynn, NY Times)---It is official: the era of unlimited free
Internet service is over, an apparent victim of its own popularity.
The announcement last week that Bluelight.com would limit the
number of hours subscribers could spend on its site signaled the
end of an era, albeit a short one even by Internet standards.
Over the last couple of years, dozens of companies announced
unlimited Internet access for no charge, the only catch being the
barrage of advertising that subscribers were forced to endure.
But like Juno Online Services and NetZero before it, Bluelight
announced that it could no longer support the strain that active
users were putting on its network, with a fraction of its subscribers
accounting for the large majority of its traffic. Just the week before
Bluelight.com's move, NetZero, the market leader, announced that it
would start charging subscribers $9.95 after they reached 40 hours
in a given month, saying that 12 percent of its subscribers were
accounting for half of its telecommunications expenses. And earlier
this year, Juno announced a tiered pricing program, whereby
customers who pay $9.95 a month receive better service, get more
reliable connections and view fewer ads.
"The pure free-I.S.P.-for-everyone experiment is over," said Mark
Goldstein, chief executive and president of Bluelight, a privately
held company that is majority-owned by the Kmart Corporation. Mr.
Goldstein said the timing of Bluelight's announcement was not
coincidental: his company was trying to head off a migration of
NetZero's heaviest customers to Bluelight's free service.
Bluelight.com, he said, did not want them; nor did it want the heavy
users it already had.
"It's like having a late-night club with all the drunks - they're the
ones you're going to kick out of the bar," Mr. Goldstein said. "They
make the worst customers."
Mr. Goldstein said that some Bluelight subscribers had been using
the service to run their businesses, requiring nearly constant
access. NetZero and Juno have reported the same behavior.
But while disproportionately active users may have struck the final
blow to the free I.S.P. movement, the real culprit was the dismal
climate for online advertising. A year ago, when free Internet service
providers were just beginning their services, advertising was
abundant - as was venture financing. Today, there is relatively little
of either one for many dot-coms.
Last month, Spinway, a San Francisco-based company that provided
the underlying technology for Bluelight and free online services
from Barnes & Noble and Costco, announced that it could not raise
any more capital and was going out of business, handing many of
its assets over to Bluelight, its largest customer.
That announcement followed shortly after the demise of 1stUp, a
Spinway competitor owned by CMGI, the Net holding company.
1stUp, based in San Francisco, was the technology behind free
service from Alta Vista and Excite at Home's FreeLane, along with
dozens of smaller niche services, like Gay .com, Senior.com and
Afronet.com. Shortly after 1stUp's announcement, Alta Vista said that
it was canceling its free service; other 1stUp partners are still
hoping to find a home someplace else.
Back in July, Juno gobbled up two competitors, Freewwweb and
WorldSpy, both of which declared bankruptcy and then began
referring subscribers to Juno's site.
That leaves NetZero and Juno still standing as the industry leaders,
each with 3.7 million active users, along with a handful of
miscellaneous Web retailers still hoping that sales of merchandise
will make up for their free Internet services. But even the two
remaining major free providers are walking on rather thin ice these
days: like many Internet stocks, shares of both Juno and NetZero,
which are embroiled in patent lawsuits against each other over the
way ads are displayed on computer screens, have been pummeled
in recent weeks. Shares of Juno, which traded at $41.63 in January,
closed under a dollar last week. NetZero was also under a dollar,
down from a 52-week high of $36.38.
Yet rather than disappear entirely, analysts predict that free I.S.P.
services are likely to continue in some form, for those customers
who do not overuse them. Many analysts say that tiered pricing
programs like those announced by Juno and NetZero are the future,
and the challenge now is to convert users of the free service into
paying customers.
Not that long ago, Internet customers bought service by the minute,
much like long-distance telephone service - for upward of $100 a
month for active users. But by the late 1990's, most Internet
providers in the United States had modified their business models,
switching to flat monthly fees in an effort to gain more revenue from
advertisers and electronic commerce and less from subscriptions. It
appeared for some players that eliminating the subscription fee
altogether was simply the next step. Adding it back now appears to
be yet another one.
But it could be that major fee-based services like America Online,
the Microsoft Network and CompuServe will end up as biggest
beneficiaries of the free-I.S.P. shakeout. All three already offer tiered
service, with limited plans priced as low as at $9.95. As more active
users are removed from free services, analysts say, they may
migrate to those more established names rather than pay the
amount to a relative newcomer who might not offer the same level of
service.
NetZero, however, has considerable brand recognition these days,
the result of an advertising blitz that includes television spots
during N.B.A. games, and the company's chairman and chief
executive, Mark R. Goldston, says the company is signing up new
subscribers at a record pace.
Bluelight, which did not announce tiered pricing but rather that it
would remove heavy users entirely, is in a category of its own. Nine
out of 10 of its subscribers got their free Bluelight.com CD-ROM
starter kit at a Kmart store, meaning that most of its customers are
already Kmart shoppers and thus potential online customers. "E-
tailing is just another way for a retailer like Kmart to reach its
customers," Mr. Goldstein said, rather than a service intended to
exist independently.
In the meantime, those start-ups that have survived this far are
simply relieved to still be standing, amid the rubble of their
competitors. "It started out as a consolidation and evolved into a
shakeout," Mr. Goldston said. "We didn't want to be the last man
standing - we wanted to be the victor."
Copyright 2001 The New York Times Company
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